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Brazil

President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Brazil flag Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva portrait

Impeachment Estimate

5%

Updated: 2025-11-30

Model Risk: 5%

Public Impeachment Search Heat: 0%

30-Day Impeachment Trend

Latest News

Brazil Congress Overrides Lula Vetoes, Escalating Fight With President - Bloomberg.com

In blow to Lula, Brazil Congress revives controversial environmental bill - keysnews.com

Brazil’s Lula puts forward new vision for protecting the Amazon rainforest - AP News

The era of fine speeches and good intentions is over. Brazil’s Cop30 will be about action | Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva - The Guardian

Fight fake news and defeat climate deniers, Brazil's Lula tells UN talks - BBC


Quick Summary of Brazil & Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva

Brazil has been a focal point of political turbulence in recent years, particularly surrounding the impeachment of former President Dilma Rousseff in 2016 and the ongoing legal and political battles involving leftist leader Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Rousseff, a protégé of Lula, was removed from office amid accusations of budgetary mismanagement, a process her supporters condemned as a legislative coup orchestrated by conservative opponents. The impeachment deepened polarization in Brazil, setting the stage for the rise of far-right leader Jair Bolsonaro, who later defeated Lula’s Workers’ Party in the 2018 elections. Lula himself faced a separate legal saga, serving 19 months in prison on corruption charges before his convictions were annulled in 2021 by the Supreme Court, which ruled that the presiding judge, Sergio Moro, had exhibited bias. The decision allowed Lula to run again in 2022, where he narrowly defeated Bolsonaro in a contentious election, marking a dramatic political comeback. Since returning to the presidency in January 2023, Lula has sought to restore stability and reverse many of Bolsonaro’s policies, but his administration faces persistent challenges, including economic struggles, environmental concerns, and lingering political divisions. The specter of impeachment has occasionally resurfaced, with opposition lawmakers accusing Lula of overreach, particularly regarding his handling of fiscal policies and alleged interference in judicial matters. While no formal impeachment proceedings have gained significant traction, the political climate remains volatile, reflecting Brazil’s deep ideological splits. Lula’s third term is being closely watched both domestically and internationally, as his ability to navigate these tensions will shape Brazil’s trajectory in the coming years. The country’s history of political upheaval serves as a reminder of how quickly fortunes can shift in one of Latin America’s most influential nations.

Impeachment Color Legend

RED >= 50%
ORANGE >= 34%
YELLOW >= 18%
GREEN < 18%